July 2026: Climate records in Western Europe and in sea temperatures

Never before have so many people in France been forced to leave their homes due to wildfires. The number of heat-related deaths in Europe had already reached 10,000 by June. Large parts of Europe are suffering from extreme drought and its associated consequences. The July data from the Copernicus Climate Bulletin, published by the European weather service, illustrates what we are experiencing firsthand. Air temperatures in Western Europe were higher than ever before during the period from June to July, and global sea surface temperatures also reached record highs in July.
Here is an overview of the key figures:
- July 2026 was the second-warmest July on record worldwide, tied with July 2024.
- Western Europe recorded its warmest June–July period since records began.
- The sea surface temperature over the oceans outside the polar regions was the highest ever recorded in July, due in part to developing El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific.
- In July 2026, Arctic sea ice extent was the sixth lowest on record for that month, with sea ice coverage in the northern Barents Sea—around Spitsbergen and Franz Josef Land—being particularly low.
- The extent of Antarctic sea ice in July was the fifth lowest on record, with sea ice coverage below average in most ocean regions, with the exception of the Amundsen Sea.
Dry Conditions and Drought
In July 2026, above-average dry conditions prevailed across much of Western Europe as well as large parts of Central and Eastern Europe, particularly on the Iberian Peninsula, in France, Germany, Austria, and Hungary; England, Wales, Ireland, the Benelux countries, and Iceland were also affected.
These dry conditions, which had already set in during the spring in some regions, led to persistent, stable, and critical drought conditions across much of Europe and, according to the European Drought Observatory, contributed to these conditions worsening further in Central and Western Europe through mid-July. In the ERA5 land dataset, average soil moisture values in Western Europe were significantly lower than those in July 2022, the last summer in which severe drought prevailed throughout Western Europe.
River levels in large parts of the arid regions fell well below average or were extremely low, which had an impact on numerous sectors.
Forest fires and crop failures
These conditions had a negative impact on agriculture—massive crop failures are being reported in many places—and contributed to an unusually high level of wildfire activity in Western Europe, fueled by an abundance of dry biomass following a wet winter and an early spring that promoted plant growth, as well as by the subsequent summer drought. In France, fires in the Gironde region destroyed nearly 42,000 ha—the largest area ever recorded for France in the European Forest Fire Information System of the Copernicus Civil Protection Service.
Spain also experienced numerous fires, particularly in the central and eastern regions. According to the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, daily emissions from wildfires in France on July 24 reached a level that was likely a record for this time of year. By the end of July, the total annual amount was already the highest on record for this time of year, while for Spain it ranked second, behind 2022.
A Wide Gap Between the West and the East
The average temperature over continental Europe in July 2026 was 20.49 °C, which is 0.66 °C above the 1991–2020 average, making this July the eleventh-warmest July on record in the ERA5 dataset.
This relatively low ranking followed the second-warmest June on record in Europe and reflected a stark regional contrast: The significantly above-average temperatures in Western Europe were partially offset by below-average temperatures in large parts of Eastern Europe and Scandinavia.

As was already the case in June, temperatures in France, Germany, northeastern Spain, England, Switzerland, and western Italy were well above average, generally by 3–5 °C.
The warm weather was due to the heat wave that hit the region in the first half of July and again toward the end of the month.
According to national data, France recorded its warmest July on record, and Spain recorded its second-warmest. Preliminary statistics for the United Kingdom indicate that July 2026 was the second-warmest nationwide, the warmest in Wales, and the second-warmest in England.
The regional differences in July were related to a high-pressure system northwest of Great Britain and Ireland. Warm air from North Africa flowed northward along its western flank, while cooler polar air flowed southward along its eastern flank. In June, the center of the high-pressure system was further east, over France.
Outside Europe, drier-than-average conditions prevailed in parts of northern Canada, the central United States, the Maghreb, parts of the Horn of Africa, Siberia, South and Central Asia, parts of inland China, and parts of Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia.





